Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 2186.270044 2370.076354 2555.625738 2756.666739 2968.042684 3183.402328 3419.106767
2025-06-22 1881.136427 2156.129466 2443.702472 2765.669581 3114.902822 3481.123510 3893.041172
2025-06-29 1675.176734 2003.426915 2355.910213 2760.101238 3208.327447 3687.829237 4237.221938
2025-07-06 1471.361363 1829.891805 2224.270489 2686.202421 3208.399754 3776.614646 4437.805649
2025-07-13 1402.394121 1798.866526 2243.256283 2772.293642 3379.062490 4047.671829 4834.533667
2025-07-20 1320.492293 1744.915133 2229.225918 2814.631523 3495.073115 4253.521810 5155.257078
2025-07-27 1231.711842 1675.954865 2191.812287 2824.528867 3569.317647 4408.458554 5415.595563
2025-08-03 1145.602311 1604.324246 2146.134045 2820.065073 3622.921464 4536.633413 5642.917475
2025-08-10 1078.708141 1551.887784 2119.657629 2834.984072 3696.411787 4685.634352 5892.670140
2025-08-17 1004.141979 1485.417073 2072.310200 2821.364785 3733.197579 4789.655954 6088.581929
2025-08-24 954.722858 1448.047478 2058.344723 2846.170795 3814.228108 4944.442513 6343.114336
2025-08-31 889.989445 1387.242241 2012.057571 2828.488586 3841.694468 5034.157106 6519.893925
2025-09-07 861.423344 1373.621906 2025.556432 2885.918245 3962.238084 5237.164550 6834.243825
2025-09-14 814.375936 1332.834880 2002.445688 2896.020441 4023.889607 5369.396233 7064.889511
2025-09-21 764.415555 1285.367995 1968.401153 2890.264081 4064.326096 5474.915068 7262.894822
2025-09-28 690.504822 1200.617376 1881.888286 2814.036887 4013.999282 5467.883077 7323.528920
2025-10-05 684.225064 1211.483154 1922.667083 2902.838888 4171.763557 5715.973718 7694.000482
2025-10-12 661.888429 1197.871333 1929.463470 2946.499597 4271.943015 5893.271006 7978.816210
2025-10-19 629.090158 1167.243205 1911.722594 2956.705222 4328.662702 6016.454291 8197.514609
2025-10-26 593.286233 1130.313805 1883.803914 2952.102435 4365.397019 6114.201258 8384.745500
2025-11-02 566.286315 1105.343449 1871.452729 2967.485696 4427.352874 6243.135275 8610.424489
2025-11-09 531.519602 1066.628708 1838.272666 2953.442624 4450.057193 6322.193873 8774.095717
2025-11-16 510.978417 1049.177145 1834.593967 2979.020003 4524.263858 6466.077677 9018.481988